Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 129.686265 151.182676 176.991838 210.836907 254.951553 311.859770 393.241986
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 101.537201 126.979695 161.052761 211.987500 290.115251 413.369292 643.126104
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 84.299090 109.504845 145.380155 203.338949 301.993713 481.342944 895.612087
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 76.966312 103.524493 143.543493 213.306005 345.621013 627.986283 1489.672749
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 68.041813 93.484055 133.200913 205.904186 354.255517 710.125236 2083.512573
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 62.702023 87.991737 128.907068 207.710965 381.788531 860.247517 3399.850624
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 57.469047 81.920401 122.550952 203.919666 395.412432 986.722806 5336.697936
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 56.228833 82.086934 126.864830 222.272609 471.753140 1423.969252 17126.828411
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 56.319170 84.426886 135.424151 252.287713 601.023490 2408.812590 487175.007736
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 52.880764 80.210689 130.848256 250.871304 632.962277 2983.098867 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 50.397900 77.428021 128.675098 254.815347 687.718384 4009.894267 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 47.536247 73.676604 124.033251 251.329494 712.896281 4957.238150 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 44.717579 70.092394 119.989538 250.612244 761.006008 6962.140967 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 42.302704 67.085794 116.878673 252.185832 826.844310 10936.238380 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 39.288653 62.641211 110.029047 241.079020 820.676523 13407.077120 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 38.198595 61.795752 110.999121 253.876008 964.774576 35066.621244 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 35.838551 58.243523 105.364775 244.366081 963.968801 50547.906621 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 34.400722 56.405241 103.467898 246.683793 1050.717061 158454.878731 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 32.702341 53.907158 99.721804 241.823104 1081.776497 508793.758165 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 32.581305 54.596889 103.686037 265.448774 1403.426715 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 32.985533 56.410608 110.754512 304.595252 2066.324262 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 31.677074 54.467057 107.904219 302.734122 2216.546931 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 30.723483 53.218733 106.740985 307.919848 2522.420163 NaN NaN